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学者姓名：宁满秀
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Abstract ：
建立长期护理保险制度，是积极应对人口老龄化，实现失能老年人老有所养和缓解“一人失能，全家失衡”困境的重要举措。本文将长期护理保险政策试点开展作为准自然实验，采用2014年、2016年、2018年和2020年中国家庭追踪调查数据，运用双重差分法考察长期护理保险政策实施对农村子女劳动供给的影响。研究发现：第一，长期护理保险政策实施对农村子女劳动供给产生显著的正向影响；第二，异质性分析表明，长期护理保险政策实施能够对老一代、女性和家庭收入水平低的农村子女劳动供给产生更加明显的促进效应；第三，机制分析表明，长期护理保险政策实施通过降低农村子女对失能父母的照料支持促进农村子女劳动供给。上述研究结果表明，长期护理保险政策实施能有效缓解农村家庭赡老压力，并释放农村年轻劳动力。本文认为，需持续推进长期护理保险政策，将保障对象扩至更大范围的农村地区，并因地制宜地实施差异化的农村长期护理保险政策；同时，结合农村劳动力结构特点，建设农村专业护理队伍，为农村失能老人提供更专业化、更有针对性的护理照料服务。
Keyword ：
农村子女 农村子女 劳动供给 劳动供给 家庭老年照料 家庭老年照料 长期护理保险政策 长期护理保险政策
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| GB/T 7714 | 卢素兰 , 钟海霞 , 冯艳维 et al. 长期护理保险制度何以破解“一人失能，全家失衡”困局——基于农村子女劳动供给的视角 [J]. | 中国农村经济 , 2025 , 20 (01) : 155-174 . |
| MLA | 卢素兰 et al. "长期护理保险制度何以破解“一人失能，全家失衡”困局——基于农村子女劳动供给的视角" . | 中国农村经济 20 . 01 (2025) : 155-174 . |
| APA | 卢素兰 , 钟海霞 , 冯艳维 , 宁满秀 . 长期护理保险制度何以破解“一人失能，全家失衡”困局——基于农村子女劳动供给的视角 . | 中国农村经济 , 2025 , 20 (01) , 155-174 . |
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Abstract ：
建立长期护理保险制度,是积极应对人口老龄化,实现失能老年人老有所养和缓解"一人失能,全家失衡"困境的重要举措.本文将长期护理保险政策试点开展作为准自然实验,采用2014年、2016年、2018年和2020年中国家庭追踪调查数据,运用双重差分法考察长期护理保险政策实施对农村子女劳动供给的影响.研究发现:第一,长期护理保险政策实施对农村子女劳动供给产生显著的正向影响;第二,异质性分析表明,长期护理保险政策实施能够对老一代、女性和家庭收入水平低的农村子女劳动供给产生更加明显的促进效应;第三,机制分析表明,长期护理保险政策实施通过降低农村子女对失能父母的照料支持促进农村子女劳动供给.上述研究结果表明,长期护理保险政策实施能有效缓解农村家庭赡老压力,并释放农村年轻劳动力.本文认为,需持续推进长期护理保险政策,将保障对象扩至更大范围的农村地区,并因地制宜地实施差异化的农村长期护理保险政策;同时,结合农村劳动力结构特点,建设农村专业护理队伍,为农村失能老人提供更专业化、更有针对性的护理照料服务.
Keyword ：
农村子女 农村子女 劳动供给 劳动供给 家庭老年照料 家庭老年照料 长期护理保险政策 长期护理保险政策
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| GB/T 7714 | 卢素兰 , 钟海霞 , 冯艳维 et al. 长期护理保险制度何以破解"一人失能,全家失衡"困局 [J]. | 中国农村经济 , 2025 , (1) : 155-174 . |
| MLA | 卢素兰 et al. "长期护理保险制度何以破解"一人失能,全家失衡"困局" . | 中国农村经济 1 (2025) : 155-174 . |
| APA | 卢素兰 , 钟海霞 , 冯艳维 , 宁满秀 . 长期护理保险制度何以破解"一人失能,全家失衡"困局 . | 中国农村经济 , 2025 , (1) , 155-174 . |
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从社会经济、突发环境和主体脆弱3个层面分析林区规模性返贫所面临的潜在风险。基于规模性返贫韧性治理的内涵，从抵御与恢复力、适应与转型力、学习与再造力3个特征维度构建规模性返贫韧性治理“全资本韧性耦合—全要素韧性互动—全过程韧性循环”的机制框架。在此基础上，提出构建韧性治理共同体，提升多元主体韧性；建立长效保障机制，提升产业、人才、文化、生态和组织韧性等规模性返贫韧性治理建议。
Keyword ：
林区 林区 潜在风险 潜在风险 规模性返贫 规模性返贫 韧性治理 韧性治理
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| GB/T 7714 | 黄吉迎 , 宁满秀 , 张维泰 et al. 林区规模性返贫的潜在风险与韧性治理策略 [J]. | 林业经济问题 , 2024 , 44 (01) : 59-67 . |
| MLA | 黄吉迎 et al. "林区规模性返贫的潜在风险与韧性治理策略" . | 林业经济问题 44 . 01 (2024) : 59-67 . |
| APA | 黄吉迎 , 宁满秀 , 张维泰 , 张皓乙 . 林区规模性返贫的潜在风险与韧性治理策略 . | 林业经济问题 , 2024 , 44 (01) , 59-67 . |
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数字乡村战略背景下农户融资可得性问题依然没有得到有效解决。如何提升农户融资可得性是关系乡村振兴的重大战略问题。本文以广西壮族自治区百色市田东县建成的“金色乡村”数字信用平台构建准自然实验,利用百色市4个县市的246个农户2013—2022年信贷个体数据,运用双重差分模型和中介效应模型考察数字信用平台对农户融资可得性的影响和作用机制。研究结果表明,数字信用平台提升了农户信用贷款发生概率和贷款发生额,且对教育水平高、收入水平高的农户以及抵押担保类贷款的影响更为明显,数字信用平台在促进农户融资可得性上存在“嫌贫爱富”和“风险规避”偏好。机制分析发现,数字信用平台主要通过提升贷款质量、降低贷款利率以及延长贷款期限三个渠道促进农户融资可得性。本文研究结论为更好地发挥数字信用平台在助力乡村振兴中的作用提供了理论依据和经验参考。
Keyword ：
信息不对称 信息不对称 数字信用平台 数字信用平台 融资可得性 融资可得性
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| GB/T 7714 | 李善民 , 宁满秀 . 数字信用平台是否促进了农户融资可得性——来自国家首个农村金融改革试点县的经验证据 [J]. | 现代财经(天津财经大学学报) , 2024 , (10) : 109-127 . |
| MLA | 李善民 et al. "数字信用平台是否促进了农户融资可得性——来自国家首个农村金融改革试点县的经验证据" . | 现代财经(天津财经大学学报) 10 (2024) : 109-127 . |
| APA | 李善民 , 宁满秀 . 数字信用平台是否促进了农户融资可得性——来自国家首个农村金融改革试点县的经验证据 . | 现代财经(天津财经大学学报) , 2024 , (10) , 109-127 . |
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Can the backward endowments of rural areas support digital village construction to attain the expected results? If the answer is yes, what are the mechanisms involved? Answering these questions is related to common prosperity. Counties are China's frontline commanders, and the urban-rural income gap is a suitable entry point for observing the urban-rural digital divide; however, there is limited research assessing the effectiveness of digital village construction from the perspective of the urban-rural income gap at the county level. In addition, counties lifted out of poverty, as counties with worse initial endowments and as counties that should be most concerned with common wealth, are more typical for examining the effectiveness of digital rural construction; however, there are few studies on counties lifted out of poverty. Based on cross-sectional data from 865 counties in China in 2020, this study empirically analyzes the impact of digital village construction on the urban-rural income gap using an OLS model. This study also conducts mechanism tests and poverty benefit tests in addition to heterogeneity and robustness tests. The findings indicate that the development of digital villages lowers the income difference between urban and rural areas, and that the shift in the industrial structure is a key driver of this effect. Different construction dimensions have varying degrees of impact, with digital infrastructure and the digitalization of the economy having the most significant impact, the digitalization of countryside governance coming second, and the digitalization of countryside life having the most negligible impact. The impact is more pronounced in the central-eastern region of China and counties that have just been lifted out of poverty than in the western region and counties that have never been in poverty. The government will benefit greatly from this study's understanding of the main themes, areas, and scope of digital rural construction, which will help to expand and further integrate the outcomes of reducing poverty and fostering shared prosperity.
Keyword ：
digital village construction digital village construction industrial structure industrial structure poverty alleviation poverty alleviation sustainability sustainability urban-rural income gap urban-rural income gap
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| GB/T 7714 | Liu, Ying , Zhang, Haoyi , Ning, Manxiu et al. Has Digital Village Construction Narrowed the Urban-Rural Income Gap: Evidence from Chinese Counties [J]. | SUSTAINABILITY , 2024 , 16 (13) . |
| MLA | Liu, Ying et al. "Has Digital Village Construction Narrowed the Urban-Rural Income Gap: Evidence from Chinese Counties" . | SUSTAINABILITY 16 . 13 (2024) . |
| APA | Liu, Ying , Zhang, Haoyi , Ning, Manxiu , Wang, Linping . Has Digital Village Construction Narrowed the Urban-Rural Income Gap: Evidence from Chinese Counties . | SUSTAINABILITY , 2024 , 16 (13) . |
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高质量就业是高质量发展的重要内涵，数字经济正成为驱动高质量就业的新引擎。基于中国家庭追踪调查数据(CFPS),运用固定效应模型，探究数字经济对农民工就业质量的影响。研究发现，总体而言，数字经济对农民工劳动收入、劳动福利和劳动强度维度的就业质量存在显著负向影响。进一步地，聚焦于数字经济影响农民工就业质量的组群异质性。基于技能和职业任务类型分组的结果表明，与高技能农民工相比，数字经济对低技能农民工劳动收入和劳动福利的负向冲击更加显著；相较于非常规任务组农民工，数字经济显著降低常规任务组农民工就业质量水平。就不同产业部门的农民工而言，与生产部门农民工相比，数字经济显著提升高端服务部门农民工的劳动收入和劳动福利；却造成低端服务部门农民工劳动福利水平下降。相较于非贫困户农民工，数字经济显著提高贫困家庭农民工的劳动收入，但造成其劳动福利、劳动强度和就业稳定性维度的就业质量下降。由此可知，数字经济在一定程度上对人力资本劣势的农民工群体产生了就业冲击。若要充分发挥数字经济在促进高质量充分就业方面的作用，就要努力消弭人群间的“数字鸿沟”,建立行之有效的教育与培训体系，予以数字弱势群体一定的政策保护，让数字经济产生的就业红利更具包容性与普惠性。
Keyword ：
农民工 农民工 就业质量 就业质量 数字经济 数字经济
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| GB/T 7714 | 宁满秀 , 罗叶 , 张维泰 . 农民工能否从数字经济中受益?——基于就业质量视角 [J]. | 宏观质量研究 , 2024 , 12 (05) : 16-29 . |
| MLA | 宁满秀 et al. "农民工能否从数字经济中受益?——基于就业质量视角" . | 宏观质量研究 12 . 05 (2024) : 16-29 . |
| APA | 宁满秀 , 罗叶 , 张维泰 . 农民工能否从数字经济中受益?——基于就业质量视角 . | 宏观质量研究 , 2024 , 12 (05) , 16-29 . |
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In the context of China's "Rural revitalization via digital commerce", this study explored the impact of the digital economy on farmers' income and the path mechanism of logistics development. On the basis of the panel data of 71 cities in the Eastern Economic Region of China from 2013-2021, this paper calculates the level of the digital economy and uses the level of logistics development as a moderating variable. Then, the basic transmission mechanism and the heterogeneous transmission mechanism are used to empirically analyze the impact of the digital economy on the income of farmers, exploring the nonlinear link between the digital economy and farmers' income. The analysis revealed that (1) the development of the digital economy has a significant positive effect on farmers' income. (2) The impact of the digital economy on the advancement of logistics development showed a delayed phenomenon. (3) The indirect effect of the digital economy on farmers' income growth also lagged. In this way, this study verified the practical significance of "Rural revitalization via digital commerce" and proposed corresponding recommendations for promoting the development of the digital economy and rural logistics.
Keyword ：
digital economy digital economy eastern economic region eastern economic region farmers' income farmers' income logistics development logistics development
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| GB/T 7714 | Miao, Xiaohong , Li, Zhongbin , Ning, Manxiu et al. Digital Economy, Logistics Development, and the Increase in Farmers' Income: An Empirical Analysis of the Eastern Economic Region of China [J]. | SUSTAINABILITY , 2024 , 16 (23) . |
| MLA | Miao, Xiaohong et al. "Digital Economy, Logistics Development, and the Increase in Farmers' Income: An Empirical Analysis of the Eastern Economic Region of China" . | SUSTAINABILITY 16 . 23 (2024) . |
| APA | Miao, Xiaohong , Li, Zhongbin , Ning, Manxiu , Xu, Anxin . Digital Economy, Logistics Development, and the Increase in Farmers' Income: An Empirical Analysis of the Eastern Economic Region of China . | SUSTAINABILITY , 2024 , 16 (23) . |
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The question of whether businesses can balance their "pursuit of profit" with their "benefit to society" is still up for dispute. This study examines, employing China's "Central Ecological Environment Protection Inspectorate" policy as a quasi-natural experiment, the little studied but significant relationship between command-and-control environmental regulation and firm value. According to the study, environmental regulations have a long-lasting and gradual positive impact on company value, particularly for businesses that pollute excessively. This is primarily because environmental rules enhance a company's performance in terms of environmental, social, and governance aspects; additionally, the benefits are amplified by internal controls and analyst attention. Subsequent investigation revealed that command and control environmental regulations boost a company's worth when it is situated in a location with better government relations, less dependency on natural resources, and stronger enforcement. The analysis concludes that there is no conflict between the "pursuit of profit" and the "benefit to society" under command-and-control environmental management. Therefore, governments should advise and support businesses in the areas of the environment, society, and governance; enhance the quality of information disclosed; create differentiated enforcement standards to ensure equity in the costs of environmental regulatory compliance for businesses; and create more inclusive and flexible environmental regulatory policies to enhance the business environment for businesses.
Keyword ：
ESG performance ESG performance Firm value Firm value Mediation Mediation Regulation Regulation The Central Environmental Protection Inspector The Central Environmental Protection Inspector
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| GB/T 7714 | Hong, Xianna , Ning, Manxiu , Chen, Qiuhua et al. How does command-and-control environmental regulation impact firm value? A study based on ESG perspective [J]. | ENVIRONMENT DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY , 2024 , 27 (5) : 11477-11508 . |
| MLA | Hong, Xianna et al. "How does command-and-control environmental regulation impact firm value? A study based on ESG perspective" . | ENVIRONMENT DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY 27 . 5 (2024) : 11477-11508 . |
| APA | Hong, Xianna , Ning, Manxiu , Chen, Qiuhua , Shi, Chenyong , Wang, Nan . How does command-and-control environmental regulation impact firm value? A study based on ESG perspective . | ENVIRONMENT DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY , 2024 , 27 (5) , 11477-11508 . |
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居高不下的农贷违约问题引致了农村金融机构的惜贷和恐贷,借贷双方的贷款质量意识对遏制农贷违约和构建良性农贷市场具有积极意义,但少有研究。本文运用演化博弈理论和数值仿真技术研究了贷款质量意识对农户与信贷员行为策略演变的影响,结果显示:当信贷员与农户双方贷款质量意识趋于弱化时,博弈系统收敛于农户提交低质量贷款项目、信贷员接受低质量贷款项目,银行出现惜贷和恐贷,只存不贷的单边农村金融市场由此形成;当信贷员贷款质量意识强烈、农户贷款质量意识随机时,博弈系统收敛于信贷员接受高质量贷款项目、农户提交高质量贷款项目,良性农贷市场秩序得以建立;当信贷员贷款质量意识强烈、农户贷款质量意识弱化时,博弈系统收敛于农户提交低质量贷款项目、信贷员接受高质量贷款项目,农贷市场出现严重的信贷配给现象。
Keyword ：
农村金融 农村金融 演化博弈 演化博弈 贷款质量意识 贷款质量意识
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| GB/T 7714 | 李善民 , 宁满秀 . 贷款质量意识与有序农贷市场构建 [J]. | 运筹与管理 , 2024 , 33 (09) : 188-193 . |
| MLA | 李善民 et al. "贷款质量意识与有序农贷市场构建" . | 运筹与管理 33 . 09 (2024) : 188-193 . |
| APA | 李善民 , 宁满秀 . 贷款质量意识与有序农贷市场构建 . | 运筹与管理 , 2024 , 33 (09) , 188-193 . |
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空气质量不仅关乎居民的健康状况，对经济社会的可持续发展也产生了深远影响。基于理论分析框架，阐述空气质量影响劳动供给的内在机理；并采用工具变量法，实证检验了空气质量对中老年人劳动供给行为的影响程度及作用机制。研究结果表明：空气污染将显著降低中老年人劳动参与概率和劳动供给时间，且负面效应因工作性质、区域产业结构和劳动力市场差异产生显著的异质性。随着生态文明建设的持续推进，我国空气质量逐年改善，空气污染的劳动供给负面效应呈现逐年减弱的趋势。机制检验发现，空气污染将通过加速个体的健康资本折旧进一步影响其劳动供给决策和时间。据此，提出加快发展方式的绿色转型；优化中老年劳动者就业环境，完善劳动者权益保障制度；健全基层公共卫生服务体系；制定科学合理的空气质量评价体系等提高空气质量和劳动供给的对策建议。
Keyword ：
健康折旧 健康折旧 劳动供给 劳动供给 生态文明 生态文明 空气质量 空气质量
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| GB/T 7714 | 黄巧龙 , 蔡雪雄 , 宁满秀 . 空气质量对中老年人劳动供给的影响研究——基于CHARLS数据的证据 [J]. | 重庆工商大学学报(社会科学版) , 2024 , 41 (06) : 40-55 . |
| MLA | 黄巧龙 et al. "空气质量对中老年人劳动供给的影响研究——基于CHARLS数据的证据" . | 重庆工商大学学报(社会科学版) 41 . 06 (2024) : 40-55 . |
| APA | 黄巧龙 , 蔡雪雄 , 宁满秀 . 空气质量对中老年人劳动供给的影响研究——基于CHARLS数据的证据 . | 重庆工商大学学报(社会科学版) , 2024 , 41 (06) , 40-55 . |
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